{"product_id":"the-art-of-uncertainty-how-to-navigate-chance-ignorance-risk-and-luck","title":"The Art of Uncertainty: How to Navigate Chance, Ignorance, Risk and Luck","description":"\u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eAuthor:\u003c\/b\u003e Spiegelhalter, David\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eBrand:\u003c\/b\u003e Penguin Press\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eBinding:\u003c\/b\u003e hardcover\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eNumber Of Pages:\u003c\/b\u003e 512\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eRelease Date:\u003c\/b\u003e 19-09-2024\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003ePart Number:\u003c\/b\u003e 9780241658628\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eDetails:\u003c\/b\u003e ‘Probably the UK’s greatest living statistician’ Telegraph\u003cbr\u003e\n\u003cbr\u003e\nFrom the UK’s ‘statistical national treasure’, a clever and data-driven guide to how we can live with risk and uncertainty\u003cbr\u003e\n\u003cbr\u003e\nWe live in a world where uncertainty is inevitable. How should we deal with what we don’t know? And what role do chance, luck and coincidence play in our lives?\u003cbr\u003e\n\u003cbr\u003e\nDavid Spiegelhalter has spent his career dissecting data in order to understand risks and assess the chances of what might happen in the future. In The Art of Uncertainty, he gives readers a window onto how we can all do this better.\u003cbr\u003e\n\u003cbr\u003e\nIn engaging, crystal-clear prose, he takes us through the principles of probability, showing how it can help us think more analytically about everything from medical advice to pandemics and climate change forecasts, and explores how we can update our beliefs about the future in the face of constantly changing experience. Along the way, he explains why roughly 40% of football results come down to luck rather than talent, how the National Risk Register assesses near-term risks to the United Kingdom, and why we can be so confident that two properly shuffled packs of cards have never, ever been in the exact same order.\u003cbr\u003e\n\u003cbr\u003e\nDrawing on a wide range of captivating real-world examples, this is an essential guide to navigating uncertainty while also having the humility to admit what we do not know\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eEAN:\u003c\/b\u003e 9780241658628\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003ePackage Dimensions:\u003c\/b\u003e 11.0 x 8.4 x 1.9 inches\u003c\/p\u003e\u003cp\u003e\u003cb\u003eLanguages:\u003c\/b\u003e English\u003c\/p\u003e","brand":"Penguin Press","offers":[{"title":"Default Title","offer_id":66569484796208,"sku":"Trans_9780241658628","price":993.0,"currency_code":"INR","in_stock":false}],"thumbnail_url":"\/\/cdn.shopify.com\/s\/files\/1\/0690\/9968\/4144\/files\/61h0fgWx4SL.jpg?v=1776738518","url":"https:\/\/www.retailmaharaj.com\/products\/the-art-of-uncertainty-how-to-navigate-chance-ignorance-risk-and-luck","provider":"Retail Maharaj","version":"1.0","type":"link"}